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Smartphone prices set to rise sharply in 2026 and beyond: guess the cause

By DigiconAsia Editors | Thursday, May 7, 2026, 2:13 PM Asia/Singapore

Smartphone prices set to rise sharply in 2026 and beyond: guess the cause

Record surges in the price of memory modules are reshaping supply chains and pushing mid‑to‑high‑end gadget costs higher.

Prices of smartphones are poised for a sharp, sustained climb in 2026 as mobile‑DRAM and LPDDR5X memory costs race toward record highs, with some industry forecasts indicating that base bill‑of‑materials (BOM) costs for flagship models could rise by more than 50% within a single quarter.

Analysts attribute the surge to an AI‑driven demand boom that has redirected semiconductor wafer capacity away from consumer‑oriented memory toward high‑bandwidth modules used in data centers and servers.

One research firm has revised its Q1 2026 outlook to show conventional DRAM contract prices jumping roughly 90–95% quarter‑on‑quarter, with mobile LPDDR5X witnessing similarly steep incre (ases. Others have predicted that DRAM prices will expand by about 130% year‑on‑year across 2026, a trajectory described as one of the most dramatic escalations in the industry’s history.

Those forces are now reshaping the supply chain: memory now represents the largest single cost line in many smartphones, with some analysts estimating that DRAM and NAND together could account for close to 40% of total component expenses in mid‑to‑high‑end handsets.

In response, manufacturers are already raising prices and re‑engineering their device portfolios. Samsung has increased the prices of its high end models in several markets, including the US and South Korea, adding several hundred dollars to the most storage‑heavy configurations. The firm has also raised the price of multiple smart tablets, signaling that it no longer views memory‑driven up‑front cost inflation as something to absorb quietly.

Similarly, Chinese brands are preparing to increase the starting price of new mid‑ and high‑end smartphones by hundreds of dollars, with flagship models potentially adding as much as 2,000 to 3,000 yuan to their tag.

Analysts warn that the effect on the broader smartphone market could be profound. One market observer has forecast that global smartphone shipments will contract by roughly 12% in 2026, the sharpest decline on record. Market research firms see similar negative volume trends, noting that elevated smartphone prices are more likely the start of a new normal than a temporary spike.

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